Yes. From following their first week sales for more than three albums down the road, i am going to use my analysis of all the trends i have noticed to predict how many copies both kanye and luda are going to sell in their first week in stores. I am sure if i am not on point, i would be closer than a 100 thousand difference in sales. Walk with me.
Lets start with kanye, he dropped his
first album, "college dropout" in 2004, and did a first week sales of 440,000 copies, impressive for a debut album. His second album that dropped the following year, 2005, "late registration", sold 860,000. That is like double the sales of the first one. The third album, "Graduation" dropped in 2007, and did 957,000 numbers in its first week, just three thousand shy of a million copies.
So far he has been on the rise, gathering fans and selling more copies per album release. The factors we should look at for this album sales is that, album sales are not like before, they are at all time low. You might say, "but lil wayne sold 1 million in his first week". Yes he did, put he paid his dues. He did more than two dozen featuring on other people's album through 2007 till 2008, when his album dropped.
Considering the fact that kanye is now under the pop genre, judging from his two singles. "love lockdown" and "heartless", he would get new follower ship, but he would also loose some fans, so i put his first week sales at somewhere between 700,000-800,000.
For luda, his first album, "back for the first time", released in 2000, didn't do so well. The second one, "word of mouf", released in 2001, did 320,000, in its first week. The third album, "Chicken and beer", released in 2003, went a notch higher and did 429,000 first week. The fourth album, red light district, released in 2004, sold 322,000, in it's first week, that's a drop. His fifth album, release therapy, did 347,000, first week sales, that is a little better than the last one.
From all this analysis, i would say the album would do a first week sales of between 300,000-400,000.
Both album are dropping on the same day, November 24, so after a week in stores, we would come back and check on my analysis.
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